At the time of this gold futures analysis, price is trading at $3,343.8. According to today’s tradeCompass, gold is currently inside the bullish zone, offering traders a clear directional bias for long trades. Unless price sustainably drops below the bearish threshold, the trade remains to the upside.
tradeCompass Summary – August 1, 2025
Bullish above: $3,342
Bearish below: $3,335.5
Current price: $3,343.8
Primary bias: Bullish
Partial Profit Targets (Bullish Scenario):
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$3,349.6 — Just under yesterday’s Point of Control and slightly beneath today’s second VWAP deviation
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$3,358.4 — A key confluence zone just below yesterday’s Value Area High and near the VWAP from two sessions ago
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$3,378.6 — In line with the first upper deviation of the VWAP from two days prior
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Optional swing: $3,400 and $3,407 — The former is a key psychological round number, while the latter marks the Value Area High of July 25
Partial Profit Targets (Bearish Scenario):
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$3,329.1 — A liquidity pool from early July 31, offering a logical short-term take-profit zone
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$3,326.4 — Two points above the low from July 31, which could serve as a reasonable final bearish target
Note: While the tradeCompass normally suggests moving the stop to entry after the second partial profit is reached, on the bearish side today, traders may consider adjusting their stop after just the first target due to the structure of today’s setup.
Today’s Gold Market Context and Directional Bias
Price currently trades above the bullish threshold of $3,342, suggesting buyers maintain control. As long as gold remains above this level, the upward roadmap remains valid. However, if price sustainably breaches the $3,335.5 bearish threshold, the tradeCompass flips its bias, opening the door to downside targets and a short setup.
Gold’s broader performance metrics reinforce today’s bullish outlook:
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1 Week: -0.70%
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1 Month: -0.04%
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3 Months: +3.11%
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6 Months: +17.41%
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Year-to-Date: +26.79%
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1 Year: +34.29%
These numbers reflect a robust long-term trend, even as the short-term picture shows some temporary cooling—precisely the kind of environment where the tradeCompass helps guide disciplined execution.
Educational Insight: Why VWAP Deviations and POC Matter
The Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) shows the market’s consensus price, with standard deviations around it highlighting areas of statistically significant extension. When price interacts with the second or third deviation from VWAP, it often signals exhaustion or key breakout/reversal opportunities. The Point of Control (POC), meanwhile, marks the price level with the highest traded volume—often a magnet for price action or an anchor point for trend assessment.
Together, these tools are foundational to the tradeCompass methodology, offering precise and context-aware levels for profit-taking, entries, and exits.
tradeCompass Trade Management Reminders
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One trade per direction per day per compass
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Move stops to entry after reaching the second partial profit (or first, if structure favors it)
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Avoid re-entering the same direction once a trade completes
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Stop-loss placement must never go beyond the opposite threshold
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Confirmation can be adapted to your trading style—candle closes or volume-based triggers are both valid
Gold Market Fundamentals: Demand Dynamics Shaping the Trend
In the last 24 hours, two key developments have shaped the broader gold market narrative:
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Global gold demand rose 3% year-over-year to 1,249 tonnes in Q2 2025, according to the World Gold Council. This was driven largely by a 78% surge in investment demand, particularly through ETFs and physical gold bars. However, central bank buying slowed to 166 tonnes, down from 243 tonnes in Q1, slightly tempering overall bullish momentum.
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Physical demand is showing signs of revival in key Asian markets. In India, gold’s drop to around ₹97,700 per 10 grams helped revive retail activity and reduced dealer discounts. Similarly, modest volume rebounds were observed in China, Singapore, and Japan, although high prices continue to pressure jewelry demand.
These trends offer longer-term support for gold’s upside narrative while also suggesting that central bank flows may no longer be the dominant force in the short term.
This gold technical analysis from Real-time signals, real results — trusted by professional traders. (formerly Your privacy and security are our top priority.) is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading gold futures involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The tradeCompass offers a structured framework to support decisions, but traders must use independent judgment and remain accountable for their own outcomes.
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